The Michael Shermer Show
The Michael Shermer Show

262. Oliver Stone on Ukraine, Putin, and the Military-Industrial Complex

In episode 262, Shermer speaks with Oliver Stone about: the relationship with truth in dramatic films vs. documentary films; how the world would be different if JFK were not assassinated; why diplomacy and trade agreements are necessary with Russia, even now after the invasion of Ukraine; the Cuban

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Episode Summary

Executive Summary: Michael Shermer and Oliver Stone discuss Stone’s approach to historical drama versus documentary, then focus on JFK, U.S. covert action, and the Ukraine war. Stone argues Kennedy restrained militarism, that U.S. and Russian actions have both been aggressive, and that diplomacy, neutrality for Ukraine, and renewed engagement with Russia are essential to reduce nuclear risk.

Main Topics: Drama vs. documentary and historical truth: Stone explains that dramatic films compress and condense events for storytelling, while documentaries aim to present evidence more directly; his JFK documentaries were made to preserve and consolidate information after earlier public and legislative interest. JFK, assassination research, and media memory: Stone describes how JFK prompted public pressure, congressional action, and the Assassination Records Review Board, but argues that important evidence has since been dispersed and his documentary serves as a legacy reminder. Kennedy’s foreign policy and the anti-war legacy: The discussion emphasizes Kennedy’s resistance to military pressure during the Bay of Pigs and Cuban Missile Crisis, his fear of generals, and his broader effort to avoid war in Cuba, Vietnam, and elsewhere. U.S. covert action and regime change: Stone argues that American intelligence and foreign policy institutions have repeatedly carried out or enabled interventions and covert operations, citing Northwoods, Iran, Indonesia, Brazil, Chile, and other cases as evidence of U.S. aggression. Ukraine, NATO expansion, and Russia’s perspective: Stone frames the Ukraine war as rooted in NATO expansion, the 2014 political shift in Ukraine, and pressure on Russian-speaking populations in Donbass and Crimea; he says Putin’s rationale reflects a security dilemma rather than pure expansionism. Nuclear strategy, deterrence, and diplomacy: Stone warns that nuclear escalation remains dangerous, argues mutually assured destruction is the current stabilizer, and says the way forward is nuclear energy, arms restraint, and diplomacy rather than confrontation. Civil rights and unfinished moral progress: The conversation ends by revisiting Kennedy’s civil-rights speech, with Stone supporting affirmative action and reparative measures while noting that many Black Americans still feel progress has been too slow.

Key Arguments: Dramatic films can tell historical truth through condensation and narrative shaping, but documentaries are needed to preserve evidence and context more directly. The JFK assassination remains a living historical controversy because records were delayed, scattered, and partially hidden from public view. Kennedy’s decisions during the Cuban Missile Crisis and Bay of Pigs showed unusual restraint and likely prevented larger wars. U.S. intelligence and national-security institutions have a long record of deception, making skepticism toward official narratives reasonable. Conspiracy theories should be distinguished from legitimate suspicion, because documented covert plans like Operation Northwoods really did exist. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cannot be understood without NATO expansion, the 2014 Ukraine political shift, and fears about Russian-speaking populations in Donbass. Stone views U.S. and Russian actions as morally comparable in many cases, arguing that both powers have pursued destabilizing interventions abroad. The path out of the current crisis is diplomacy, Ukrainian neutrality, and a rebalancing away from military escalation and regime-change logic. Nuclear war is preventable only through deterrence, de-escalation, and long-term reliance on nuclear energy rather than fossil-fuel geopolitics. Civil rights gains in the U.S. are real but incomplete, and historical injustices may justify some form of reparative policy.

Data Points: Kennedy’s 1963 peace speech year: 1963 - Stone and Shermer discuss Kennedy’s peace speech and its relevance to today’s foreign policy. JFK assassination year: 1963 - The film and discussion center on JFK’s assassination and its political aftermath. Assassination Records Review Board records release deadline: 2039 - Stone notes that the film ended with a disclaimer saying records were filed away until 2039. Film runtime: 3 hours and 8 minutes - Stone says the original JFK film compressed the story into roughly this length. Documentary versions: 2-hour and 4-hour versions - Stone describes the newer JFK documentary as existing in both shorter and extended cuts. Nuclear weapon balance cited: 17 to 1 - Stone claims the U.S. had a roughly 17-to-1 nuclear superiority over the Soviet Union during the 1962 crisis. Length of Russia/Ukraine border tensions mentioned: 8 years - Stone says Donbass had been under bombardment for eight years before the 2022 invasion. Russian-speaking population cited: 25 million - Stone refers to roughly 25 million Russian-speaking people left outside Russia after the Soviet collapse. U.S. intervention in Indonesia: 1967 - Stone cites the removal of Sukarno and the rise of Suharto as a key regime-change example. Brazilian coup year: 1964 - Stone cites the ouster of Goulart as part of a broader pattern of U.S.-backed regime change. Kennedy’s civil-rights speech year: 1963 - Shermer and Stone discuss Kennedy’s civil-rights address and its moral importance.

Pivotal Quotes: "We didn't leave the Stone Age because we ran out of stone. We invented new ways to develop new tools." — Michael Shermer: Shermer introduces Wondrium’s climate documentary as an example of technological problem-solving. "What kind of peace do I mean? Not a Pax Americana enforced on the world by American weapons of war, not the peace of the grave or the security of the slave." — John F. Kennedy: Shermer reads from Kennedy’s peace speech, which Stone cites as central to his worldview. "If you believe the generals, you're going to march off, you go into these wars, parades, and all that, and boom, you're into a situation where you're over your head, and a lot of people die." — John F. Kennedy: Shermer and Stone discuss Kennedy’s distrust of military pressure and his anti-war instincts.

Implications: The episode argues that history, media, and policy debates are distorted when official narratives go unchallenged. For listeners, the takeaway is to demand evidence, skepticism, and diplomacy in both nuclear and conventional conflicts.

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