Value Investing with Legends
Value Investing with Legends

Elizabeth Lilly - Embodying the Principles of Value Investing

The value investing in legends class is one of the highlights of the Heilbrunn year. It's filled with special moments, including the annual visit from our guest today, Elizabeth Lilly. Beth embodies the principles and practices of value investing like very few people do. She makes investing loo

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Columbia Business School HostBeth Lilly Guest

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Episode Summary

Executive Summary: Beth Lilly traces a career shaped by hands-on value investing mentorship, emphasizing that great investing means understanding businesses, management, and capital allocation, not just screens and multiples. She describes moving from Goldman to Fireman’s Fund, learning directly from Bob Bruce and Warren Buffett’s orbit, building small-cap expertise, and later applying the same principles to private investments at the Polad family office.

Main Topics: Early influences and entry into investing: Lilly explains how her mother’s investment club, family stock ownership in 3M, and early curiosity about stocks formed the basis of her investing interest. Learning value investing from Bob Bruce and Buffett: Her formative years at Fireman’s Fund under Bob Bruce taught her how to analyze businesses, value stocks, and focus on management, while Buffett’s simplicity made investing feel understandable. Small-cap focus and Woodland Partners: Lilly details why she gravitated toward small-cap stocks: inefficiency, less Wall Street coverage, and the ability to create alpha through deep research and disciplined valuation. Management quality, capital allocation, and avoiding value traps: She stresses that the decisive issue in small companies is management quality and whether leadership can improve returns on capital; otherwise, cheap stocks can become value traps. Portfolio discipline and concentrated investing: Lilly highlights the importance of staying focused on strategy, limiting assets, and prioritizing returns over asset growth, especially in capacity-constrained small-cap investing. Transition to private markets with the Polad family: She describes how her public-market skills transferred naturally to private investing, with the main difference being the absence of daily market prices and a longer compounding horizon. Evolving value investing in a changed market: Lilly argues that value investors must adapt to structural changes accelerated by the pandemic, especially in recognizing software and other compounders as legitimate value opportunities.

Key Arguments: Value investing is fundamentally about understanding whether a business is good, how it makes money, and whether management allocates capital well. Learning from experienced investors like Bob Bruce, Mario Gabelli, Peter Lynch, and Warren Buffett was more valuable than a conventional career path. Small-cap markets can be especially fertile for value investors because fewer analysts cover them and inefficiencies persist. A stock can look cheap and still be a value trap if management fails to improve returns or the board does not hold leadership accountable. Concentrated portfolios and capacity discipline are essential in small-cap investing; growth in assets can hurt returns. The best investing involves constant, detailed follow-up with management, using prior commitments as accountability benchmarks. Public and private investing use essentially the same analytical framework; the private market mainly differs by lacking daily pricing and encouraging longer holding periods. Value investing should not be equated with buying bad businesses cheaply; it is often about buying good businesses at reasonable prices with room to compound.

Data Points: 3M shares inherited: 7 shares initially, later 700 shares - Beth Lilly recalls the family stock gift that helped instill saving and compounding. Goldman Sachs start year: 1985 - Transcript notes Lilly began her career at Goldman Sachs after graduating from college. Fireman’s Fund training period: about 4 years - She says she worked with Bob Bruce for four years and learned the core of value investing there. Woodland Partners target AUM: $500 million - She says the firm planned to stop growing once it reached this level to preserve small-cap capacity. Woodland strategy: small-cap stocks - Woodland Partners was built around a focused small-cap value strategy. Crocus Hill launch year: 2017 - Lilly founded Crocus Hill Partners after leaving Gabelli. Mighty Mites fund size: $1.4 billion - She references the scale of the fund she helped run at Gabelli. Mighty Mites portfolio size: about 500 stocks - She notes the portfolio’s breadth, with significant concentration despite many holdings. 80% concentration: 80% of assets in 200 companies - Illustrates how concentrated the large small-cap portfolio still was. Crocs stock entry price: $6 per share - She cites Crocs as an example of a small-cap compounder purchased cheaply. Crocs cash on balance sheet at purchase: $3 per share - Used to show downside support and valuation discipline. Crocs later stock price: around $80 - She notes the long-term compounding success of the investment. Purchase discipline: 60-65% of intrinsic value - Lilly says she prefers to buy at a meaningful discount to estimated value. Polad relationship: 38th-40th floors of same building - She built relationships with the Polad family through shared office proximity in Minneapolis. Crocus Hill portfolio size: around 40 companies - Her independent fund and separate accounts held a relatively concentrated number of positions.

Pivotal Quotes: "If you want to learn value investing and you want to really learn how to invest in value companies and understand how to build a portfolio, come work for me." — Bob Bruce: Bruce inviting Lilly into his Fireman’s Fund training program. "What is it worth?" — Beth Lilly: Her distilled framework for analyzing both public and private businesses. "I only want to pay 60 or 65% on the dollar for the value." — Beth Lilly: Her statement on valuation discipline and margin of safety.

Implications: The episode reinforces that durable value investing depends on business quality, management accountability, and disciplined pricing. It also suggests modern value investors should adapt their toolkit to compounders, private markets, and changing industry structures.

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About Value Investing with Legends

Value investing is more than an investment strategy — it's a fundamental way of thinking about finance. Value investing was developed in the 1920s at Columbia Business School by professors Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, MS '21. The authors of the classic text, Security Analysis, Graham and Dodd were the very pioneers of their field and their security analysis principles provided the first rational basis for investment decisions. Despite the vast and volatile changes in the economy and securities markets during the last several decades, value investing has proven to be the most successful money management strategy ever developed. Value investors' success over the second half of the twentieth century proved not only the validity of the value approach, but its preeminence over even the most widely taught and practiced modern investment theory, which was developed in the 1950s and '60s and remains dominant even today. Our mission today is to promote the study and practice of Graham & Dodd's original investing principles and to improve investing with world-class education, research, and practitioner-academic dialogue. In this podcast you will hear from some of the world's greatest investors, their views on the investment management industry, how they developed their investment process and how they see the field changing over time.

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