The Ben Shapiro Show
The Ben Shapiro Show

Ep. 201 - The Polls Tighten...Does Trump Have A Shot?

More Wikileaks, how the Republicans are already getting the election post-mortem wrong, and we deconstruct the culture! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Episode Summary

Executive Summary: The episode centers on the FBI’s reopening of its Hillary Clinton email investigation, which Ben Shapiro frames as an election-shaking “October surprise” that could damage Clinton and elevate Trump’s chances. He argues James Comey is politically covering himself, then pivots to reactions from media, GOP figures, and Dana Perino, plus lighter culture-war segments on comic books and campus Halloween rules.

Main Topics: FBI reopens Clinton email investigation (Priority: 5/5): The main story is Comey’s letter to Congress saying new emails may be relevant to the Clinton email probe, which Shapiro portrays as a bombshell that could alter the election. Comey as political cover-up and institutional self-protection (Priority: 5/5): Shapiro argues Comey previously shut down the probe for political reasons and is now reopening it to avoid looking biased after the election. Election impact and polling dynamics (Priority: 5/5): The segment repeatedly assesses whether the FBI news can narrow Clinton’s lead, shift swing states, and make Trump’s ‘rigged system’ argument more persuasive. Media and party reactions to Clinton corruption (Priority: 4/5): Shapiro notes that Democrats and media figures who had begun criticizing Clinton are now forced to reassess, while Republicans use the news to attack Clinton and rally support. Interview with Dana Perino (Priority: 4/5): Perino discusses the Comey news, possible hidden devices/emails, the political timing, and the broader consequences for the Republican Party and down-ballot races, then briefly promotes her book about Jasper. Culture-war commentary: comics and Halloween rules (Priority: 3/5): The latter part attacks progressive messaging in comics and a University of Texas checklist on offensive Halloween costumes as examples of excessive political correctness.

Key Arguments: Comey reopened the investigation because he likely feared evidence would emerge later, making the FBI look like it had concealed politically damaging information until after the election. Shapiro claims Comey’s original decision not to recommend indictment was itself a political act, and reopening the probe now is an attempt to manage appearances. The FBI announcement strengthens Trump’s core argument that the system is rigged and makes Clinton’s corruption a central campaign liability. Down-ballot Republicans may benefit because the news shifts attention away from Trump and back onto Clinton. The episode suggests the race remains competitive enough that late-breaking scandal could materially affect swing-state outcomes. The culture segments argue that left-wing activism is distorting entertainment and university policy into performative ideological policing.

Data Points: FBI hate crimes against Muslims in 2015: 260 - Shapiro cites this while criticizing a New York Times piece about Muslim parents fearing Trump. FBI hate crimes against Jews in 2015: 647 - Used to argue the Times piece was misleading in emphasis and context. Share of all hate-crime victims targeting Jews: Nearly 57% - Presented alongside the 2015 hate-crime statistics. Clinton lead in RealClearPolitics average: About 4.4 percentage points - Shapiro says her lead had narrowed from about seven points two weeks earlier. Clinton lead in swing-state polls: Florida dead heat; North Carolina +2.4; Nevada +2; Michigan +6; Wisconsin +6.7; Colorado +6.2 - Used to argue the election was still highly competitive. Election timing of Comey announcement: 11 days before the election - Highlighted as a decisive October surprise. Upcoming segment timing: About 20 minutes - Shapiro tells listeners Dana Perino will join later in the show.

Pivotal Quotes: "In connection with an unrelated case, the FBI has learned of the existence of emails that appear to be pertinent to the investigation." — James Comey: Quoted from Comey’s letter announcing the reopened inquiry into Clinton’s emails. "This is Hans Gruber turning to Theo in Die Hard and saying, Theo, you ask for miracles. I give you the FBI." — Ben Shapiro: His reaction to the Comey announcement, emphasizing how extraordinary he считает the news. "No child in America should feel afraid to practice their religion or embrace their heritage." — Hillary Clinton (tweet quoted by Shapiro): Used by Shapiro to contrast Clinton’s rhetoric with her past criticism of religious beliefs.

Implications: The episode argues the FBI move could reshape the final stretch of the campaign, intensify partisan warfare, and further erode trust in institutions. It also suggests down-ballot races and post-election GOP identity may be affected.

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