The Michael Shermer Show
The Michael Shermer Show

How Religions Compete for Money, Power, and People

Ask a question and participate in future episodes of the show. Religion in the twenty-first century is alive and well across the world, despite its apparent decline in North America and parts of Europe. Vigorous competition between and within religious movements has led to their accumulating great p

Topics Discussed

Episode Summary

Executive Summary: The conversation argues that religion is best understood as a competitive social platform or business organized around invisible spirits, with success driven less by theology than by incentives, community functions, and organizational structure. The discussion covers tithing, tax analogies, religious competition, U.S. polarization, secular Jews, conversion and fertility, new religious movements, abuse, and the future persistence of religion, including in space colonies.

Main Topics: Definition of Religion as Spirit-Interaction plus Platform Logic: Religion is defined as activities oriented around interaction with invisible spirits, but its power comes from platform-like communities that enable cooperation, identity, and collective action beyond theology alone. Religion as Business and Incentive System: Religious movements are treated as legitimate businesses that compete for wealth, power, and people, with tithes, donations, and organizational design shaping behavior much like markets and firms. Religion, Politics, and U.S. Polarization: The speakers examine how religion in the U.S. has become increasingly linked to conservative politics, how that differs from older Protestant/liberal alignments, and how this affects church growth and public trust. Social Functions: Trust, Mixing, Marriage, and Status: Churches and mosques function as mixers that connect people across class lines, provide dignity to migrants and the poor, and even serve as marriage markets where ritual participation signals character. Growth, Survival, and Survivor Bias in New Movements: Movements like Mormonism and Scientology are discussed as examples of how charisma, luck, early founder death, myth-making, and organizational continuity affect which religions survive. Religion, Violence, and Structure: Violence is framed as primarily political and structural, with religious language and texts serving as technologies for recruitment and legitimation rather than sole causal drivers. Future of Religion and Accountability: Religion is expected to persist, including on Mars, but the real issue is how societies can make religious institutions more accountable, especially regarding abuse and institutional cover-ups.

Key Arguments: Religion is not a single essence but a broad set of practices tied to perceived interaction with invisible spirits; what unifies it is not doctrine but social participation around that belief. Successful religions use platform logic to make people do things together that they would not otherwise do, which is why organizational form matters as much as creed. Religious movements behave like businesses: they compete, adapt, and need revenue, so theological purity is often secondary to organizational incentives and market positioning. Tax systems and tithing both rely on a norm that most people will pay their share if they believe others are doing the same; free-riding can collapse cooperation. Churches can be the best cross-class mixers, but people also self-sort into congregations that match their income and politics, increasing segregation at the same time. In the U.S., religion has been increasingly pulled into partisan alignment, especially with conservative politics, which may reduce religion’s broad cultural appeal over time. Most believers are not motivated primarily by literal theology; many attend for community, identity, ritual, dignity, or social support, with doctrinal belief often optional at the margins. New religious movements succeed or fail through a mix of luck, founder dynamics, myth-building, and post-founder organizational adaptation, not just truth claims. Violent religious movements recruit by embedding aggression in moral stories of compassion, sacrifice, and suffering; the underlying conflict is usually about power, status, land, or resources. Religious institutions should be treated as accountable organizations, because abuse is often structural rather than just the result of a few bad individuals.

Data Points: Tithing example: 12% of income - A young woman in Ghana gives roughly 12% of her income to a wealthy pastor as an example of deliberate, informed religious giving. Social mobility research: Churches are the best mixers - Referenced study using Facebook data finds churches produce more cross-class interaction than schools, workplaces, or neighborhoods. Minority of cheats: 1 to 3% - Referenced hunter-gatherer/social tolerance claim that groups can withstand a small percentage of free riders or sociopaths, but not much more. Collapse threshold: 20% to 30% - Group functioning can break down if cheating or free-riding rises to this level, according to the discussion of social cooperation. Catholic hierarchy layers: 4 layers - The Catholic Church is described as having a very flat authority structure: believer, priest, bishop, pope. Founder transition: Critical point after founder dies or is eclipsed - The discussion argues that the moment after a founder’s death or removal is decisive for whether a movement survives and scales. Growth model: ~0.5% per year - Bart Ehrman is cited for the idea that early Christianity could grow via tiny annual compounded gains rather than mass conversion.

Pivotal Quotes: "Religions, in short, are businesses." — Paul Seabright: Opening framing for the book and discussion of religion as an organized competitive institution. "What unites it is the idea that these activities are performed in a sense of awareness that they are part of our interaction with these invisible spirits." — Paul Seabright: Definition of religion as a broad set of activities connected to invisible spirit-belief. "The essence of religion is it doesn't have an essence." — Paul Seabright: Summary of the argument that religion is heterogeneous and best understood through function and organization rather than a single doctrinal core.

Implications: Listeners should expect religion to persist as a social technology, not just a belief system. The key future issues are political capture, abuse prevention, and making religious institutions transparent and accountable like other major social organizations.

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