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How to design a brand-new city

I’m back with part two of my conversation with Jan Sramek, founder of California Forever, about his plan to build a brand-new city in Solano County. We get into the nuts and bolts of the urban design, discuss affordability and sustainability, get into governance issues, and look forward to what migh

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Jan Sramek Guest

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Episode Summary

Executive Summary: The episode dives into the design, governance, infrastructure, affordability, and timeline of California Forever’s proposed 400,000-person city in Solano County. Jan Sramek argues the city should be built around walkability, frequent transit, mixed-income neighborhoods, district-scale sustainability, and a normal municipal government—while using zoning and infrastructure to shape behavior without overcontrolling daily life. The conversation centers on whether the project can avoid car dependence, elitism, and runaway prices while still getting approved and actually built.

Main Topics: Human-centered urban design (Priority: 5/5): The city is planned from the lived experience backward: walkable neighborhoods, nearby coffee, schools, parks, and daily needs within a short walk rather than car trips. Transit and car-light mobility (Priority: 5/5): A grid of frequent transit corridors every half mile is meant to make moving around the city easy without a car, while still allowing limited car access via perimeter garages and shared vehicles. Affordability and housing mix (Priority: 5/5): Sramek argues scale, ownership-oriented product mix, varied unit sizes, and lower total cost of ownership will keep the city affordable better than exclusionary inclusionary housing rules. Governance and fears of billionaire control (Priority: 4/5): The project is framed as a normal city with standard local government institutions, not a private techno-utopia, while detailed entitlements and zoning rules will enforce the urban vision. Sustainability as infrastructure (Priority: 5/5): Environmental performance is to be embedded in city-scale systems: district heating, solar on undeveloped land, water recycling, stormwater handled centrally, and lower VMT than sprawl. Phasing, approvals, and litigation risk (Priority: 4/5): The project is moving through annexation and CEQA review, with the first phase likely near the downtown-residential interface; lawsuits and regulatory hurdles remain major uncertainties. Aesthetics and place-making (Priority: 3/5): The team wants traditional-leaning but varied architecture, avoiding bland contemporary suburban styles while preserving enough flexibility for organic neighborhood character.

Key Arguments: Walkability matters because daily errands by foot or bike are more pleasant, social, and less draining than driving with children. Urban design shapes trust and loneliness: physically shared public space builds social capital better than isolated car-based living. Frequent, simple transit works best when wait times are short enough that people stop checking schedules; 5-minute frequency is treated as a key threshold. A city should make cars optional inside it, not eliminate them entirely; perimeter garages and shared vans can cover infrequent use cases like IKEA trips or caregiving. Scale changes affordability incentives: with 174,000 homes to sell, the company is motivated to maximize volume and absorption rather than luxury pricing. Mixed-income integration is seen as morally and socially superior to segregating starter homes, luxury homes, and affordable units into separate zones. District-scale infrastructure lets sustainability and operating costs be optimized over decades instead of forcing each builder or household to pay for all green upgrades upfront. The project’s regional effect could be positive if it reduces long Solano-to-Silicon-Valley commutes and anchors more local jobs in manufacturing and industry. The city’s governance will remain conventional—mayor, council, city manager, fire district, school district—rather than a private corporate regime. Architectural guidelines will likely rely on a broad pattern book and upfront standards to preserve variety while avoiding the worst forms of developer blandness.

Data Points: Site size: 70,000 acres - Land California Forever has assembled in Solano County Planned population: 400,000 people - Target size of the proposed new city Housing units: 174,000 homes - Number of homes the company expects to sell/build Transit corridor spacing: Every half mile - A grid of movement streets/transit corridors across the city Transit wait threshold: No longer than 5 minutes - Urbanist benchmark for making transit feel effortless and frequency high enough to ignore schedules Commuting out of county: 68% - Share of Solano County residents who commute out of the county for work Regional population scale: 12 million people - Northern California mega-region described as lying between San Jose and Sacramento Highway widening: About 7 miles - Additional Highway 12 widening needed to connect the project to the highway network Starter unit price target: Under $500,000 - Desired price for a starter home/flat in the city Current starter home size issue: 1,800 square feet - Example of how California starter homes have become too large and expensive Current base home size issue: 2,600 square feet - Example of narrow and upscale new-home product range in many developments Potential car cost savings: About $1,000/month - Estimated savings if a family can go from two cars to one Solar footprint: About 7,000 acres - Solar planned on land not expected to be built on for 20-25 years Solar+storage supply: About 85% - Expected share of electricity demand covered by solar plus batteries in the early buildout Build-out horizon: 40 years - Estimated time to fully develop the city Phase 1 concentration: Northwestern corner of the downtown/residential interface - Likely first area to be built because it maximizes access, flexibility, and shared infrastructure CEQA review scope: Tens of thousands of pages - Expected size of the environmental document due to project scale

Pivotal Quotes: "We wanted a place where you could have small-scale retail ... in the heart of each of these neighborhoods." — Jan Sramek: Explaining the experience-first approach to neighborhood design "If someone wants to come in and build a home, they should be able to get a building permit in 60 days." — Jan Sramek: Describing the balance between strong upfront planning and ease of private development "We believe ... that sustainability lives in the infrastructure layer." — Jan Sramek: Summarizing the project’s core environmental strategy

Implications: If successful, the project could become a major test case for car-light, mixed-income, infrastructure-first city building in the U.S. It would also reshape debates over housing affordability, regional transit, and whether private capital can create genuinely public-minded urbanism.

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