Science Friday
Science Friday

New Battery Technology, COVID Rise From Unvaccinated Populations. July 16, 2021, Part 1

Research For New Battery Technology Is Gaining Steam As countries around the world set their goals for decarbonizing their economies, it’s becoming clear that batteries may play a pivotal role in smoothing out the peaks and valleys of solar and wind power productions, as well as driving a shift to e

Episode Summary

Executive Summary: The episode first surveys science headlines on heat’s ecological toll, climate emissions, PFAS regulation, COVID-19, ransomware, Alzheimer’s, and slime molds. The main segment explores the future of batteries: why lithium-ion dominates yet falls short on safety, cost, and supply chains; how flow, solid-state, and other chemistries may suit grid storage; and why recycling, responsible mining, and faster manufacturing scale-up are essential for a decarbonized power system.

Main Topics: Heat waves and wildlife mortality (Priority: 5/5): Amy Nordrum explains how extreme heat and drought are pushing Sacramento River conditions beyond what juvenile Chinook salmon can survive, with nearly all expected to die before hatching or reaching fry stage. Cities and emissions responsibility (Priority: 4/5): A new global study finds a small number of cities account for a disproportionate share of urban greenhouse gas emissions, highlighting city-level leverage in climate action. PFAS contamination and regulation (Priority: 4/5): The EPA’s draft move to add PFAS to wastewater contaminant oversight signals the start of possible regulation for ubiquitous, persistent chemicals found in consumer and industrial products. COVID-19 Delta surge and vaccine politics (Priority: 5/5): The Delta variant is driving U.S. cases, hospitalizations, and deaths overwhelmingly among the unvaccinated, while Tennessee’s health department reportedly halted teen vaccine outreach under political pressure. Battery technology for a green grid (Priority: 5/5): Experts discuss battery components, limitations of lithium-ion, thermal runaway risk, and alternatives such as flow batteries, liquid metals, and solid-state designs for stationary storage and EVs. Sustainability, recycling, and supply chains (Priority: 5/5): The conversation stresses that scaling electrification will require responsible mining, recycling infrastructure, second-life battery use, and new manufacturing capacity to avoid simply shifting environmental harm. Cognitive science and slime mold behavior (Priority: 3/5): A Harvard-Tufts study suggests slime molds can respond to physical forces and exhibit decision-like behavior without a brain, expanding ideas about cognition in simple organisms.

Key Arguments: Extreme heat is not just a human health issue; it is directly disrupting ecosystems, as shown by near-total juvenile Chinook salmon losses in California. City emissions matter because urban areas concentrate populations and economic activity; a small subset of cities contributes a majority of urban emissions. PFAS deserve regulation because they are persistent, widespread, and already found in drinking water and rainwater across the U.S. The Delta variant disproportionately harms the unvaccinated, making vaccination the main dividing line in COVID outcomes. Lithium-ion batteries enabled modern electronics and EVs, but they are not ideal for every application due to safety, cost, and materials constraints. Grid storage needs different battery chemistries than mobility does; flow batteries and liquid metal batteries may be better for large stationary systems. Solid-state batteries could improve safety by removing flammable liquid electrolytes, but manufacturing scale and cycle life remain unresolved. A decarbonized economy depends on solving the full battery lifecycle: mining, scaling, recycling, and reuse, not just inventing new chemistries. Consumers influence the transition through adoption of EVs, rooftop solar, battery storage, and demand for responsibly sourced materials. Hydrogen may matter for heavy industry, trucking, or some stationary storage, but batteries appear more competitive for most passenger transport and many grid uses.

Data Points: Expected juvenile Chinook salmon mortality: almost all - California Department of Fish and Wildlife expects nearly all juvenile Chinook salmon in the Sacramento River to die from extreme heat and drought conditions. Cities studied: more than 160 - Global study on urban greenhouse gas emissions examined over 160 cities worldwide. Cities responsible for majority of emissions: 25 cities produce more than half - Just 25 cities accounted for over half of greenhouse gas emissions from all cities studied. Geographic concentration of top emitters: almost all in China - Nearly all of the top 25 highest-emitting cities were in China. U.S. high per-capita emitters: Los Angeles, Washington, D.C., Chicago, New York City - These U.S. cities were cited among the world’s most polluting on a per-person basis. Estimated PFAS exposure in the U.S.: as many as 80 million people - A study last year estimated tens of millions may have PFAS in drinking water. COVID-19 share from Delta variant: more than half of new U.S. cases - Delta was said to be responsible for over half of new COVID-19 diagnoses. Alzheimer’s study cohort: almost 2,000 older adults - Neurology study followed about 2,000 older adults over roughly seven years. Delay in Alzheimer’s symptoms: 5 years later on average - Frequent engagement in mentally stimulating activities was associated with later onset of Alzheimer’s symptoms. Frequency comparison in Alzheimer’s study: several times a week vs a few times a month - Participants doing puzzles, reading, and games more often showed delayed symptoms compared with less frequent participants. Battery separator thickness: about 15 microns - Used to illustrate how small the gap is between electrodes in lithium-ion cells and why defects can trigger fires. Flow battery installation size: 200+ megawatts - A large flow battery installation in China was mentioned as a significant grid-scale example. Renewable penetration threshold for long-duration storage: 60–70% - Argonne expects long-duration storage needs to become critical when renewable power reaches this share of the grid. Potential storage duration needed: one week to one month - Long-duration storage may be needed to bridge periods of low sunlight or seasonal variation. Fast-charging target: less than 10 minutes - Argonne is running a DOE-funded program to enable EV charging in under 10 minutes. Likely grid buildout need: 20 or 30 gigafactories - Speaker estimated U.S. electrification plus grid storage could require roughly 20–30 battery gigafactories. Tesla-era battery market impact: $100,000 car mentioned - Used as an example of early consumer willingness to pay for electric vehicles that helped build the market.

Pivotal Quotes: "almost all of the juvenile Chinook salmon in the Sacramento River in California [are expected] to die this year because of the extreme heat" — Amy Nordrum: Explaining the ecological consequences of heat waves and drought on salmon reproduction in California. "we have reached a tipping point, and that's where we're headed" — Venkat Srinivasan: Summarizing the momentum behind battery adoption across transportation, grid storage, and homes. "batteries are going to be everywhere, I think, in the next 20, 30 years" — Venkat Srinivasan: Forecasting the ubiquity of batteries in energy systems and consumer applications.

Implications: Listeners are being shown that decarbonization is not just about new power sources, but about storage, materials, infrastructure, and policy. The battery transition is underway, but its success depends on faster manufacturing, safer chemistries, better recycling, and responsible mining.

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