Bankless
Bankless

ROLLUP: Microsoft Buys Activision | OlympusDAO Has Fallen | LooksRare NFT | IreneDAO

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Topics Discussed

Episode Summary

Executive Summary: Bankless’ weekly roll-up covered a mixed crypto market, Ethereum’s growing dominance in fees and settlement, USDC overtaking Tether, and major NFT/Web3 adoption moves from Meta, OpenSea, Coinbase, and brands like Budweiser. The hosts debated Olympus DAO’s collapse, looked at L2 growth, client diversity risks, and highlighted that 2022 is shaping up as a year of regulatory, institutional, and consumer-facing Web3 expansion.

Main Topics: Market roundup and cycle uncertainty (Priority: 4/5): Bitcoin and Ether both traded lower on the week, with the hosts emphasizing that the current cycle is not behaving like prior four-year crypto cycles and that long-term conviction matters more than timing. Ethereum’s real-world scale (Priority: 5/5): A detailed breakdown of Ethereum’s 2021 network metrics showed ETH leading all chains in transaction fees and surpassing Visa in settled volume, reinforcing Ethereum as a payment network and settlement layer with major economic gravity. Stablecoin and DeFi competition (Priority: 4/5): USDC flipped Tether in supply, and Uniswap V3 began taking stablecoin share from Curve, reflecting how regulation, product design, and lower fees are reshaping on-chain dollar liquidity. Olympus DAO collapse and token reflexivity (Priority: 5/5): The OHM crash was framed as the unraveling of a staking-and-meme premium loop: a token valued far above treasury reserves eventually reverted toward fundamentals as holders shifted from staking culture to selling. NFT platform wars and mainstream adoption (Priority: 5/5): Meta’s NFT plans, OpenSea’s growth, LooksRare’s vampire attack, Dharma’s acquisition, and Mastercard-enabled NFT purchases all pointed to accelerating NFT infrastructure and a battle between compliant incumbents and more aggressive challengers. Layer-2 and Ethereum infrastructure maturation (Priority: 4/5): Polygon added EIP-1559-style burning, Binance briefly supported Arbitrum withdrawals, Optimism cut fees, and Hop hit major bridge volume, all signaling L2s becoming the dominant scaling path. Institutional capital, gaming, and metaverse bets (Priority: 4/5): Massive raises from a16z, FTX, Mechanism, and POAP, plus Microsoft’s Activision Blizzard acquisition, suggested deep capital inflows into gaming, identity, and metaverse-adjacent crypto sectors.

Key Arguments: Ethereum is economically larger than many realize: it generated far more fees than other chains and settled more value than Visa in 2021. USDC’s rise over Tether reflects that regulated, fiat-backed stablecoins gain trust and distribution by cooperating with nation-state frameworks. Olympus DAO’s market-cap collapse was not surprising; it was a reflexive meme-premium unwind toward the value of treasury reserves. LooksRare’s token incentives created real trading volume but likely also wash trading, illustrating the tradeoff between bootstrap incentives and organic usage. OpenSea likely will not launch a token because it is too visible, too compliant-sensitive, and too important to the NFT ecosystem to risk SEC conflict. Layer-2s are becoming the practical future of Ethereum scaling, and competition among them is driving fees down for users. Protocol ownership and tokenized business models are becoming the new norm for crypto apps, but not all token incentives are healthy or sustainable. The next major crypto adoption wave is coming through mainstream interfaces, brands, wallets, and consumer platforms rather than through purely native crypto users.

Data Points: Bitcoin weekly move: Down 1% on the week - BTC opened near $44,000, hit a low of $41,500, and recovered above $43,000 during the recording week. Ether weekly move: Down 3% on the week - ETH started around $3,400, dipped to roughly $3,050, and recovered to around $3,220. Bitcoin one-year change: Up from $35,000 to $43,000 - Illustrated as a relatively flat one-year performance compared with ETH. ETH/BTC ratio: 0.075 - Down slightly from 0.076 the prior week. Ethereum transaction fees in 2021: $9.9 billion - Compared against other chains and traditional payment companies. Bitcoin transaction fees in 2021: Just over $1 billion - Shown as far below Ethereum’s fee generation. Binance Smart Chain transaction fees in 2021: $0.9 billion - Presented as one of the next-largest chains by fee revenue. Avalanche transaction fees in 2021: $0.4 billion - Included in the chain-by-chain fee comparison. Solana transaction fees in 2021: $0.026 billion - Shown as much smaller than Ethereum and BSC. Cardano transaction fees in 2021: $0.008 billion - Lowest among the chains discussed in the comparison. Visa revenue: $24 billion - Used as a benchmark for comparing blockchain fee revenue. Stripe revenue: $7.4 billion - Ethereum’s 2021 fee revenue exceeded Stripe’s revenue. Ethereum network settlement volume: $11.6 trillion - Ethereum surpassed Visa in total settled value during 2021. USDC supply: Over $40 billion - USDC overtook Tether in stablecoin supply. Tether supply: Just under $40 billion - USDC flipped Tether for the leading stablecoin supply spot. OHM market cap peak: $4.3 billion - Peak reached on November 23 before the crash. OHM market cap current: $1 billion - Represents roughly a 75% to 80% decline from the peak. OHM market cap at earlier low: $50 million - Referenced as the market cap around June 2021 before its huge run-up. LooksRare token price: Rising sharply; broke through $7 - The token’s incentive design drove volume and price acceleration. OpenSea January 2022 sales volume: Highest sales volume month ever - Despite competition, OpenSea continued to set records. Dharma acquisition by OpenSea: Acquired - Described as a wallet/on-ramp acquisition to improve NFT onboarding. Polygon EIP-1559 burn: Implemented - Polygon adopted fee burning to tie MATIC more directly to demand. Hop bridge volume: $1 billion - Achieved about six months after launch. Optimism fee reduction: 30% lower average transaction fees - Reported as another fee cut, separate from previous reductions. MetaMask token probability: 30% by March 31, 2022 - Based on Polymarket prediction market pricing. OpenSea token probability: 26% by March 31, 2022 - Also from Polymarket’s airdrop prediction market. Dharma token probability: Lowered sharply - The prediction market implied Dharma was less likely to airdrop after acquisition news. A16Z raise: $4.5 billion - New capital for Web3 and startup investing. FTX fund: $2 billion - Dedicated to metaverse/crypto gaming investments. Mechanism gaming fund: $100 million - Focused on play-to-earn and gaming investments. POAP raise: $10 million - New funding to accelerate POAP’s growth and identity/memory use cases. Ethereum client share: 68% Prysm, 22% Lighthouse, 9.5% Teku, 0.5% Nimbus - Shows client concentration risk in Ethereum proof-of-stake staking infrastructure. Crypto.com hack: $33 million - CEO later confirmed the larger amount stolen, including BTC and ETH. Tether blacklisting: $160 million USDT - A reminder that stablecoins are censorable and not fully permissionless money.

Pivotal Quotes: "Ethereum is a payment network of payment networks." — David: Used to explain why Ethereum’s transaction volume and fee revenue should be compared to major payment infrastructure like Visa. "The current state of the new wave of DeFi is talking about the newer DeFi apps that have come out ... Needless to say, this is not what I signed up for." — Emilio (quoted by hosts): Referenced during discussion of DeFi 2.0 culture, governance behavior, and risk-taking excesses. "If the SEC deemed ETH a security in 2022, it would probably be the end of the SEC, not Ethereum." — Ryan Sean Adams: Used in the takes section to argue that Ethereum’s legitimacy is now too broad for a reclassification to be politically or institutionally survivable.

Implications: The episode frames crypto as moving from speculation to infrastructure: Ethereum, L2s, NFTs, stablecoins, and mainstream brands are converging. But it also warns that incentive design, regulation, and infrastructure concentration can create fragile, cringe-market excesses that only fundamentals will survive.

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