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SotN #2 - CHURNING; ETH bears wrong, Venmo loves crypto, Gas fees good

STATE OF THE NATION #2 - Tuesday, June 23, 2020 The State of the Bankless Nation is....CHURNING! The Bankless boys discuss why. Subscribe to get new episodes every Wednesday! (Get it 1 day earlier on Bankless YouTube!) Watch the video here. Covered: 1) Why isn't ETH pumping? (BEARS are wrong?)

Topics Discussed

Episode Summary

Executive Summary: The episode argues that crypto is in a “churning” phase: DeFi tokens and Ethereum activity are surging, but ETH price has not yet fully reflected the shift. The hosts frame this as a tug-of-war between Bitcoin correlation and DeFi adoption, while highlighting protocol sync, rising gas fees, and mainstream gateways like PayPal/Venmo as signs Ethereum is becoming a broader financial base layer.

Main Topics: State of the Bankless Nation: Churning, not settled (Priority: 5/5): The hosts describe the market as rapidly changing: DeFi tokens, liquidity farming, and new governance models are reshaping mental models and asset prices at the same time. DeFi token pump and shifting Ethereum narratives (Priority: 5/5): Compound, Aave, Synthetics, and Maker are seen as evidence that DeFi is having a real market impact, even if some of the gains are partly driven by forward expectations rather than immediate cash flow. ETH vs. DeFi vs. Bitcoin (Priority: 5/5): A central debate is whether Ethereum’s native asset ETH benefits from DeFi growth or gets sidelined as DeFi tokens and alternative collateral/cash-flow sources become more important; Bitcoin correlation is also seen as holding ETH back. Protocol sync thesis and institutional adoption (Priority: 5/5): The hosts argue that crypto banks and capital pools like Nexo are likely to converge on the same credibly neutral DeFi protocols, which would strengthen those protocols and increase demand for ETH as core collateral. Mainstream onboarding and digital nation-states (Priority: 4/5): PayPal/Venmo crypto support, Ramp, Monolith, Multis, and Aave are presented as infrastructure that makes Ethereum usable for everyday users and businesses, especially millennials and Gen Z. Gas fees as a feature of demand and security (Priority: 4/5): High gas fees are treated as both a sign of real demand and a barrier to smaller users; the hosts argue this is preferable to low-usage “ghost chain” conditions, even though scaling remains necessary.

Key Arguments: DeFi is no longer a niche experiment; rising TVL and token prices show real demand for Ethereum-based finance. ETH is still deeply tied to DeFi because major protocols use ETH as collateral and Ethereum block space is increasingly valuable. The bullish case for ETH is not immediate price action, but growing usage, locked value, and institutional/crypto-bank adoption. Bitcoin and ETH are both part of the crypto economy, but ETH is more directly linked to DeFi activity and productive economic bandwidth. High gas fees are evidence that Ethereum block space is in demand, though they also create pricing pressure for smaller participants. Mainstream platforms like PayPal and Venmo could accelerate crypto normalization by making onboarding simple for existing users. The protocol sync thesis suggests DeFi protocols may become default infrastructure for crypto banks, widening adoption and reinforcing Ethereum’s role.

Data Points: ETH price range: 229 to 243 - Referenced as the recent move in Ether during the week discussed. Compound capital locked: ~100M to 600M - Compound’s all-assets locked value rose from roughly 100 million to 600 million after the COMP launch. Total value locked in DeFi: 1B to 1.5B - DeFi TVL on DeFi Pulse surged sharply over about two weeks. ETH locked in Compound: ~1,000,000 ETH - Compound was said to be just under one million ETH locked, with one million reached the day before. Total ETH supply: 110M to 115M ETH - Used to frame the significance of one million ETH being locked in DeFi protocols. Millennial U.S. wealth share: 3% - Compared to boomers, millennials were said to hold only 3% of total U.S. wealth at age 39. Boomer U.S. wealth share at age 39: 21% - Used as a comparison point to illustrate generational wealth divergence. GDP growth during peak earning years: 11% vs. 34% - Millennials were said to have experienced 11% growth versus 34% for boomers in comparable age ranges. ETH daily transaction fee revenue: $540K/day - Ethereum’s fees were shown as materially higher than many competing chains. Bitcoin daily transaction fee revenue: $332K/day - Used to show Ethereum’s block space was more valuable over the recent 14-day window. XRP daily transaction fee revenue: $95/day - Illustrated the low demand for block space on some alternative chains. Binance daily transaction fees: $1,000+ - Shown in comparison to other chains on a fee chart. Nexo/Compound deposit size: ~$30 million - Nexo Finance was said to have deposited roughly thirty million dollars in USDT-related Ethereum transactions into Compound. YouTube subscribers: 1,000th subscriber - The hosts celebrated reaching their 1,000th YouTube subscriber.

Pivotal Quotes: "The state of the bankless nation is churning." — David Hoffman: Opening description of the market and narrative environment. "DeFi is just a little buzzed. It's been sober for a very long time and it's just really sensitive right now." — David Hoffman: Explaining that the recent DeFi surge is meaningful but not necessarily an overheated mania. "All roads lead to Ether." — Ryan Sean Adams: Summarizing the view that Ethereum remains the core settlement and collateral layer beneath DeFi activity.

Implications: The episode suggests Ethereum is entering a broader adoption phase: DeFi demand, crypto-bank participation, and easier fiat on-ramps may drive long-term ETH utility even before price fully reacts. High fees and scaling remain the main friction points.

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