Intelligence Squared
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The Dictators Who Want to Run the World, with Anne Applebaum, Part One

This is the first instalment of a three-part episode. In the 20th century most autocrats were brutal dictators whose main goal was to control a domestic population. But in the 21st century autocracy has become much more sophisticated and ambitious in its scope. States like Russia have developed soph

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Anne Applebaum Guest

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Episode Summary

Executive Summary: Anne Applebaum argues that today’s autocracies operate less as a bloc than as a transactional global network—sharing money, technology, propaganda methods and sanctions-evasion tactics to protect their own power and undermine democratic norms. She warns that democracies were lulled by post-Cold War optimism, trade assumptions and the belief that history favored liberalism.

Main Topics: Autocracy as a global network (Priority: 5/5): Applebaum defines Autocracy Inc. as a network of ideologically different regimes—China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, North Korea and others—cooperating for mutual gain rather than shared ideology. Why democracies became vulnerable (Priority: 5/5): The discussion traces Western complacency after the Cold War, when many assumed democratization and liberal capitalism were inevitable and required little active defense. Trade, finance and enabling autocracy (Priority: 5/5): Applebaum argues Western financial systems, anonymous companies, law firms and real estate markets helped autocrats move and hide wealth, strengthening authoritarian regimes instead of liberalizing them. Energy dependence and political leverage (Priority: 4/5): The Russia-Europe gas pipeline relationship is used to show how economic interdependence was expected to promote peace, but also created political dependencies and opportunities for coercion. Information warfare and narrative control (Priority: 5/5): Autocracies increasingly target the language of rights, transparency and democracy, using propaganda, disinformation and online influence to destabilize opponents and weaken trust in democratic systems. Why autocrats fear democracy (Priority: 4/5): Applebaum explains that elections, anti-corruption movements, civic engagement and free expression threaten authoritarian rule because they can inspire opposition and popular uprisings at home. Countering autocratic behavior, not declaring a new Cold War (Priority: 4/5): She rejects framing the issue as a binary civilization conflict and instead urges democracies to confront specific behaviors such as money laundering, disinformation and illegal violence.

Key Arguments: Autocracies today are linked by shared interests—sanctions evasion, money flows, propaganda and repression—not by ideology. Western governments and institutions helped create the current system by tolerating offshore secrecy, anonymous shell companies and laundering of authoritarian wealth. The post-1990s belief that trade would naturally liberalize Russia and China proved overly optimistic and in some cases counterproductive. The Russian gas relationship showed that economic integration can also create strategic dependence and political leverage. Autocracies invest heavily in narrative warfare because democracy’s language—rights, transparency, rule of law—poses an existential threat to them. The goal of autocratic influence operations is often not direct conquest but weakening democratic cohesion so rivals do not have to fight militarily. Democracies are not guaranteed to survive; they require active participation and maintenance rather than passive confidence. The proper response is to regulate enabling structures and counter harmful behaviors, not to adopt a simplistic anti-country or new Cold War posture.

Data Points: Book structure: Three-part listen - Podcast announcement before the live conversation Conversation format: About 1 hour of dialogue plus about 30 minutes of audience questions - Johnny Diamond outlines the event structure Countries named in the network: At least 6 core states - Applebaum cites China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, North Korea and others Years referenced for political turning points: 1990s, 2011, 2013, 2014 - Used to mark post-Cold War optimism, Russian protest movements, Chinese CCP warning document, and Ukraine’s revolution Chinese Communist Party warning document: Document Number 9 - Applebaum cites it as listing Western constitutional democracy as a major threat Russia-Europe pipeline era: Begins in the Cold War era - Early pipeline negotiations occurred while Berlin remained divided and Soviet troops had only recently left Vienna Venezuela example: Richest country in South America to probably the poorest - Illustrates how autocratic support networks can sustain failing regimes Refugee comparison: Venezuela produces more refugees than Ukraine, probably - Applebaum uses this to emphasize the depth of Venezuela’s collapse German constitutional design reference: Electoral College and checks and balances - Discussed as anti-demagogic safeguards in the U.S. system

Pivotal Quotes: "It is not united by ideology. So it includes communist China, nationalist Russia, theocratic Iran, Bolivarian socialist Venezuela, North Korea" — Anne Applebaum: Defining the core concept of Autocracy Inc. as a network rather than a formal alliance "The enemy is us, you, pretty much everybody in this room" — Anne Applebaum: Describing how autocratic regimes view democracies and democratic values as their common adversary "Nobody's democracy is safe" — Anne Applebaum: Explaining that democracy requires active defense and is never guaranteed "The solution or the answers to the dilemma created by this network is not some kind of new Cold War" — Anne Applebaum: Clarifying that she advocates confronting autocratic behaviors, not treating all autocracies as a single monolithic enemy

Implications: Listeners should see authoritarian influence as systemic: it moves through finance, tech and media, not just armies. Democracies need stronger transparency rules, better information defenses and active civic engagement to resist erosion.

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