Catalyst with Shayle Kann
Catalyst with Shayle Kann

The state of play of data center development

The future of the grid increasingly hinges on where and how data centers get built. To forecast the kind of power infrastructure we need to meet AI’s growing appetite, we first need to understand a laundry list of variables: data center size, workload type, latency, reliability — even the variety of

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Chris Sharp Guest

Topics Discussed

Episode Summary

Executive Summary: The episode examines how AI is reshaping data center geography, scale, and power strategy. Digital Realty CTO Chris Sharp argues that while training can be more distributed, inference is pushing growth back toward regional cloud availability zones near data and customers. He emphasizes that power, utility coordination, long lead times, and customer credibility now determine what gets built, and that bridge power is mostly a short-term exception rather than the norm.

Main Topics: AI workloads and data center geography (Priority: 5/5): Sharp distinguishes training from inference: frontier model training can be more geographically flexible, but inference increasingly needs proximity to users, data, and other AI infrastructure, reinforcing regional clusters and availability zones. Power availability as the binding constraint (Priority: 5/5): The conversation centers on how power has become the primary limiting factor in data center development, especially in crowded markets like Northern Virginia, where distribution constraints and utility coordination shape what can be built. Scale, densification, and the 'bragawatts' problem (Priority: 4/5): While headlines focus on gigawatt-scale announcements, Sharp says real demand is more nuanced: not every workload needs a huge contiguous build, and many inference deployments arrive in smaller five-megawatt blocks within larger campuses. Development timelines and supply-chain bottlenecks (Priority: 4/5): New data centers can take around two years from concept to delivery under normal conditions, but power interconnection, transformer lead times, switchgear shortages, and utility ramp requirements can stretch timelines significantly. Bridge power and utility partnerships (Priority: 4/5): Sharp frames bridge power as an outlier, not a default strategy. More common are negotiated utility partnerships, vendor-managed inventory, and long-term master planning to align load growth with grid capability. Reliability, liquid cooling, and infrastructure design (Priority: 3/5): AI accelerators and liquid cooling raise the stakes for uptime and thermal reliability. Sharp argues this makes traditional backup and resiliency even more important, not less, because expensive chips can be damaged quickly by thermal failure. Future efficiency and societal upside (Priority: 3/5): Sharp is optimistic about newer hardware generations and more efficient cooling designs, and points to scientific and pharmaceutical AI use cases as evidence that the sector can deliver major societal benefits.

Key Arguments: AI inference is the main driver of the next wave of data center growth, and it tends to pull capacity back toward regional markets and availability zones. Latency matters, but throughput, data gravity, and ecosystem proximity matter just as much or more for many inference workloads. Cheap stranded power can work for some simpler workloads, but the trend is toward more complex AI systems that benefit from being close to other models and data. Data center growth is constrained first by power, then by utility distribution/interconnection, and also by customer quality and financing capacity. The industry is full of oversized announcements, but not every customer needs a 100-megawatt or gigawatt-scale hall; many workloads are better served by smaller, denser blocks inside larger campuses. Bridge power is useful in the short term, but most operators prefer long-term utility-aligned solutions rather than becoming power generators themselves. Reliability requirements do not relax just because workloads are AI-related; liquid-cooled, expensive GPU systems may require even more stringent thermal and operational uptime. Vendor-managed inventory and early utility signaling help reduce delays from long-lead equipment like transformers and switchgear.

Data Points: Experience in data centers: 15+ years - Chris Sharp describes his tenure in the data center industry. Digital Realty history: 20 years - The company has developed, owned, and operated colocation data centers globally for two decades. Customer devices in VPPs: 2.5 million - Promotional segment for Energy Hub’s virtual power plant platform. Dispatchable capacity from VPPs: 3.4 gigawatts - Promotional claim about aggregated customer devices acting as flexible grid capacity. Equivalent grid resources: More than three nuclear reactors - Describing the scale of Energy Hub’s dispatchable VPP capacity. Thermostats, batteries, and EVs shifting load: Millions - Promotional segment noting energy shifting during peak periods in May and June across North America. Northern Virginia vacancy rate: 0.5% - Sharp cites NOVA as a highly constrained, multi-gigawatt data center market. Typical build timeline: About 2 years - From concept to delivery for a versatile data center under normal conditions. Utility ramp projection: 4 years - Utilities are asking for aggressive future ramp forecasts when power is reserved. Transformer lead times: 50+ weeks - A supply-chain constraint affecting data center development. Gas turbine backlog: Plus 2029 - Sharp says some gas turbine options are backlogged into 2029 or later. Existing diesel generator fleet: Almost 3 gigawatts - Digital Realty’s current diesel generator capacity used for backup and peak shaving. Inference deployment blocks: Around 5 megawatts - Sharp says many inference workloads can be deployed in roughly five-megawatt chunks. Data hall size mentioned for a single deployment: 100 megawatts - Example of a contiguous GPU infrastructure block desired by some customers. Liquid cooling density advantage: 800x denser than air - Sharp cites this as a reason liquid cooling can improve efficiency. Geffian project location: Copenhagen - Example of a large DGX pod deployment for Novo Nordisk.

Pivotal Quotes: "There is a lot of noise. Like one of the things we've been joking about is a lot of bragawatts." — Chris Sharp: Sharp critiques hype around oversized AI/data center power announcements. "AI is an and not an or to cloud." — Chris Sharp: He explains that AI capabilities are increasingly embedded within existing cloud services rather than replacing them. "When building a data center, the two hardest problems aren't technical. They're speed to power and earning community support." — Narration/host framing Bloom segment: Sets up the core operational challenge of modern data center development.

Implications: AI data center growth will hinge less on raw ambition and more on power realism, utility trust, and workload-specific design. Expect more regional clustering, smaller dense deployments inside larger campuses, and continued pressure on grid infrastructure and supply chains.

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