Odd Lots
Odd Lots

What It Takes to Run One of London's Most Popular Pubs

As our listeners know, restaurants are great microcosms for macro-economic trends. They sit at the intersection of everything from consumer confidence to commodity costs to the labor market. So on our recent visit to London, we wanted to learn about the business of pubs. According to the British Bee

Featured Speakers

Bloomberg HostOshin Rogers Guest

Topics Discussed

Episode Summary

Executive Summary: This two-part Odd Lots episode explores the business of pubs through The Devonshire’s co-founder Oshin Rogers and chef Ashley Palmer Watts. They argue that pubs remain culturally durable because they offer democratic, social, low-stakes spaces, but success now depends on food, atmosphere, disciplined operations, and careful Guinness execution. The conversation also covers labor, regulation, pricing, and why well-run pubs may be entering a new golden age.

Main Topics: What makes a pub different from a bar (Priority: 5/5): Rogers frames pubs as deeply embedded in British and Irish social life: places for community, chance encounters, and a mix of order and chaos, unlike bars that mainly serve drinking occasions. The business model of The Devonshire (Priority: 5/5): The Devonshire is presented as a hybrid pub-restaurant in central London, designed to combine broad accessibility with premium dining and strong footfall in a large, formerly underused site. Food as the economic engine of modern pubs (Priority: 5/5): Both guests explain that food changed pub economics after indoor smoking bans and evolving consumer expectations, turning many successful pubs into true gastro-pubs or restaurant hybrids. Guinness as craft and ritual (Priority: 4/5): A major segment focuses on the technical and cultural importance of pouring Guinness correctly, including gas mix, temperature, line length, and the social symbolism of debating the perfect pint. Operations, labor, and management philosophy (Priority: 4/5): Rogers and Palmer Watts discuss staffing, training, management style, and the importance of making employees feel safe, empowered, and well-trained in a high-pressure hospitality environment. Costs, pricing, and supplier relationships (Priority: 4/5): They describe inflation, beef and scallop price pressures, and how the pub manages costs through volume, fixed supplier terms, smart menu design, and broad price accessibility. Pub culture, design, and the future (Priority: 4/5): The discussion closes on acoustics, layout, old-fashioned social design, the decline of some pubs, and the idea that shared real-world experiences may become more valuable in an increasingly screen-based world.

Key Arguments: Pubs are not interchangeable with bars; they are social institutions tied to British and Irish civic life and work best in that cultural context. The best pubs succeed by creating atmosphere through lighting, sound, service, and layout, not just by selling alcohol. The smoking ban was an economic and cultural turning point that made food and broader audiences essential to pub survival. Modern successful pubs increasingly depend on food, with the line between pub and restaurant now highly blurred. Guinness quality is technically complex and depends on many variables, so a great pint requires deliberate system design rather than luck. A pub can be democratic: people of very different incomes and statuses can share the same space and conversation. The Devonshire’s strategy is to offer both entry-level value and high-end spending options so the business can serve many customer types. Good hospitality management is about empowering staff, minimizing mistakes, and building strong supplier and team relationships. Rising input costs matter, but operators can offset them through volume, efficiency, and purchasing discipline rather than constant price hikes. The future of pubs may be brighter than the closure headlines suggest because people still crave physical, shared experiences.

Data Points: The Devonshire opening date: November 2023 - Rogers says the pub opened in November 2023 and has already become a major London destination. Time since opening: about 2.5 years - Rogers says it has been open roughly two and a half years, though it feels much longer. Pub closures headline: Two pubs closing every day - Mentioned as a BBC News headline that sparked discussion about sector decline. Pint price threshold: £10 - Used as a marker of how expensive pints have become in some UK venues. Entry-level pint price at The Devonshire: £4.95 - Rogers says the pub keeps a pint under a fiver. Set menu price: £29.95 - Rogers highlights a low-priced menu option to show accessibility. Scotch egg price: £4.95 - Cited as another affordable item on the menu. High-end wine example: £2,500 - Rogers mentions the ability to sell a very expensive bottle of 2001 Château Lafite. Food service scale: 650 covers - Palmer Watts says the restaurant can serve 650 covers in a day. Staff count: 165 staff - Rogers states The Devonshire employs 165 people. Guaranteed walk-ins: about 100 per day - Rogers says the pub takes around 100 walk-ins daily. Marginal profitability: 15% to 25% - Rogers says good pubs are still converting at roughly this margin range. Guinness pour time: 13–14 seconds - Palmer Watts describes the targeted pour speed for a Guinness. Guinness rest time: 90 seconds - He says the pint then rests on the font after pouring. Guinness gas mix in Ireland: 80/20 nitrogen/CO2 - Palmer Watts cites the standard Irish gas ratio. Guinness gas mix in England: 75/25 nitrogen/CO2 - He says England commonly uses a premixed ratio. The Devonshire’s own gas mix: 82/18 nitrogen/CO2 - Palmer Watts says they mix their own gas to this ratio. Beef aging: 14 days - Palmer Watts says lamb is hung for 14 days; beef is also aged on site in a dedicated room. Grill temperature: 800–900 degrees - He describes the oak-and-beech kiln used for grilling meat. Table release timing: Thursdays at 10:30 a.m. - Rogers explains when online reservations are released.

Pivotal Quotes: "Pubs are much more sort of connected into the fabric of British and Irish society." — Oshin Rogers: He explains why pubs are distinct from bars and why they matter culturally. "We’re in the business of making people feel comfortable, safe, happy, welcome, well looked after." — Oshin Rogers: Core definition of the hospitality mission behind pubs and The Devonshire. "The sound you should hear is the sound of convivial chat in the background, and the clink of glasses." — Oshin Rogers: On how good pub design prioritizes conversation and atmosphere over music or screens.

Implications: The episode suggests the strongest pubs will be hybrid social institutions: value-forward, food-led, carefully managed, and designed for conversation. Operators who master atmosphere, staffing, and cost discipline may thrive even as weaker wet-led pubs continue to struggle.

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About Odd Lots

Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway analyze the weird patterns, the complex issues and the newest market crazes. Join the conversation every Tuesday and Thursday for interviews with the most interesting minds in finance, economics and markets.

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