Plain English with Derek Thompson
Plain English with Derek Thompson

Why Things Become Popular, with Chuck Klosterman

What makes a hit a hit? Why do some bands make it while others fade into obscurity? Chuck Klosterman’s new book imagines an alternate history of 20th century music and uses it to explore why some things become popular and just how much culture depends on chance. Subscribe to our YouTube channel here

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Episode Summary

Executive Summary: Chuck Klosterman discusses Rock, his alternative-history music book imagining the Velvet Underground as the defining mainstream rock band. The conversation expands into how popularity works, the rise of poptimism, the decline of reading and nonfiction book sales, podcast-driven book discourse, and how analytics and algorithms increasingly shape culture, criticism, and even sports awards.

Main Topics: Alternative history and Rock's premise (Priority: 5/5): Klosterman explains why he chose the Velvet Underground as the pivot point for a fictionalized music history and says the book is meant to be entertaining for people who have already thought a lot about music. How and why things become popular (Priority: 5/5): A central thread is the role of structure, ineffable quality, and luck in producing hits. Klosterman argues that popularity is usually explained through one of these lenses, though all three are always at work. Music criticism, poptimism, and commercial success (Priority: 5/5): They discuss how critics increasingly focus on mega-popular acts like Taylor Swift and Beyoncé, and how commercial success is now often treated as evidence of artistic merit rather than a separate category. Books, podcasts, and the changing nonfiction market (Priority: 5/5): The conversation turns to how books now function as launchpads for podcast discourse, with many people engaging with book ideas via interviews, reviews, Reddit, and summaries rather than reading the text itself. Decline of reading and nonfiction sales (Priority: 4/5): Klosterman reflects on shrinking nonfiction readership, especially among men, and argues that books are increasingly competing with more efficient media forms like podcasts and documentaries. Algorithms, analytics, and quantification (Priority: 4/5): The discussion broadens to how math-based systems increasingly drive decision-making in baseball awards, streaming, and entertainment, often replacing human judgment with opaque metrics. Contingency, historical luck, and cultural canonization (Priority: 4/5): Using examples like Rock Around the Clock, Big Star, Rush, and Black Sabbath, they examine how context and chance can transform failures into classics or make commercially huge acts later seem canonically important.

Key Arguments: Rock works because the Velvet Underground uniquely represent the gap between critics' music and commercial music, a gap that has shrunk over time. Popularity cannot be reduced to one cause; it is a mix of craft/structure, mysterious magic, and arbitrary chance. Music criticism has shifted from adversarial evaluation to participation in the broader music industry and PR ecosystem. Books, especially nonfiction, increasingly exist as entry points to conversation rather than as standalone products. A podcast can now function as the primary consumption mode for a nonfiction book, sometimes replacing the book itself. Nonfiction sales are declining because the market is fragmented and because many readers can now get the gist through podcasts, reviews, and summaries. Fiction is more resistant to summary because the reading experience itself remains central to its value. Commercial success is increasingly used as a proxy for artistic quality, which reflects a broader cultural move toward quantification. In baseball and other domains, opaque metrics now crowd out more intuitive or traditional measures of judgment. Alternative history is compelling because it foregrounds contingency and luck, which critics often underemphasize.

Data Points: Book title sales rank: Number 2 on the bestseller list - Klosterman says his book The 90s opened at #2 despite limited promotion during the pandemic. Book title sales rank: Number 2 on the bestseller list - He says Football also opened at #2 after 26 podcast appearances, but sold half as much as The 90s. Podcast length: 3-4 hours - Referenced as the length of some podcast conversations about a book, comparable to substantial portions of a nonfiction audiobook. Audiobook length: 7-8 hours - Used to illustrate how a long podcast can cover a large fraction of a book's total listening time. Football book promotion count: 26 podcasts - Klosterman says he did about 26 podcast interviews for Football. Nonfiction sales trend: Cut in half over five years - He says all of nonfiction has effectively been cut in half in five years, based on his book sales comparison. Popularity duration: 23 weeks at #1 - Ella Langley's 'Choosing Texas' is cited as the current Billboard country phenomenon. Previous record: 22 weeks - The previous record for that Billboard chart was held by Mariah Carey's 'All I Want for Christmas Is You'. Rock Around the Clock: 1954 release; 1955 breakthrough - The song initially disappointed, then became a massive hit after placement in Blackboard Jungle. Ed Sullivan exposure: One to 50 million or 60 million viewers - Used as an example of older, centralized mass-media hitmaking.

Pivotal Quotes: "I think it probably had to do sort of with the decline of the traditional music industry..." — Chuck Klosterman: Explaining why the gap between critics' bands and commercial bands has narrowed. "the three things I propose are the only way anything can be popular" — Chuck Klosterman: Describing the three-part framework for popularity: structure, magic, and luck. "books, dad books, non-fiction books disproportionately read by men... Something's happened to this cultural category in the last 10 to 15 years" — Derek Thompson: Framing the discussion about the decline of nonfiction readership and the podcasting shift.

Implications: Cultural success is becoming more fragmented, more data-driven, and harder to explain. For creators, critics, and consumers, that means less gatekeeping, more algorithmic opacity, and more dependence on summaries instead of full-text engagement.

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