Unchained
Unchained

Bitwise's Latest Plans to Get a Bitcoin ETF Approved - Ep.143

Hunter Horsley, cofounder and CEO of Bitwise Asset Management, and Matt Hougan, global head of research at Bitwise, describe their vision for Bitwise, its current funds and indices, as well as how it handles things like forks and airdrops. Then they give their reaction to and interpretation of the S

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Hunter Horsley GuestMatt Hogan Guest

Topics Discussed

Episode Summary

Executive Summary: Laura Shin interviews Bitwise co-founders Hunter Horsley and Matt Hogan about building crypto investment products for mainstream investors, the design and governance of their index funds, and their strategy for pursuing a Bitcoin ETF after the SEC’s detailed rejection. The discussion centers on custody, liquidity, valuation, and how regulatory feedback is shaping the next round of ETF proposals.

Main Topics: Bitwise’s mission and target investors (Priority: 5/5): Bitwise aims to make crypto accessible to mainstream investors who rely on financial advisors and conventional fund structures rather than exchanges or venture/hedge funds. Index methodology and asset selection (Priority: 5/5): The firm explains how its indexes exclude assets that are hard to custody or trade safely, and how it adjusts for inflation/issuance when determining weights. Bitwise Bitcoin fund vs. GBTC (Priority: 4/5): The conversation compares Bitwise’s open-ended, redeemable Bitcoin fund with the closed-end, premium/lockup structure of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, including fee tradeoffs. SEC rejection and path to a Bitcoin ETF (Priority: 5/5): A major portion of the interview dissects the SEC’s 112-page disapproval, the agency’s concerns about market manipulation and price discovery, and Bitwise’s plan for lead-lag analysis and surveillance-sharing evidence. Crypto market maturity and valuation (Priority: 4/5): The guests discuss how crypto assets are still hard to value, why investors treat them as long-term allocations, and why the market may concentrate around a handful of major networks. Product structure, DeFi, and future access models (Priority: 3/5): They discuss whether smart-contract-based products could eventually replace traditional funds, while emphasizing that current clients still prefer familiar structures and advisor-led access. Bitcoin IRAs and predatory fee structures (Priority: 3/5): The interview closes with criticism of some crypto IRA providers charging very high upfront fees, contrasted with Bitwise’s more conventional approach.

Key Arguments: Bitwise was created to solve the access problem for mainstream investors who want crypto exposure but cannot or do not want to trade directly on exchanges. The firm’s indexes intentionally exclude coins that cannot be securely custodied or traded, so headline market-cap rankings are not sufficient for fund eligibility. Market-cap weighting plus inflation adjustment is meant to reflect the market’s real assessment of future importance, not just today’s raw token supply. Bitwise’s Bitcoin fund differs from GBTC because it is open-ended, redeemable, and cheaper, though still priced above many traditional ETFs because crypto custody and support remain costly. The SEC’s rejection was valuable because it provided detailed guidance rather than a superficial denial; Bitwise sees the feedback as a roadmap for future filings. The SEC is increasingly focused on where price discovery occurs and whether regulated, surveilled markets exist that are large enough to matter for manipulation analysis. Future ETF approval may depend less on proving raw market size and more on demonstrating lead-lag relationships and surveillance sharing across key markets. Crypto is likely to consolidate around a small number of important protocols over time, and a market-cap-weighted index is designed to capture that uncertainty without making narrow bets. Current valuation methods are all imperfect because crypto lacks a universally accepted fundamental model; price is still mostly driven by supply-demand dynamics and long-term adoption beliefs. Some crypto IRA products are criticized as predatory because they charge very high upfront fees and exploit users who are new to the asset class.

Data Points: Bitwise founded: 2017 - Hunter Horsley said the company started in 2017 after exploring crypto arbitrage and broader asset access opportunities. Hunter Horsley prior roles: Facebook, Instagram, Wharton - He described his background before founding Bitwise. Bitwise Bitcoin fund fee: About half of GBTC’s price - Hunter said the Bitwise Bitcoin fund is cheaper than GBTC. GBTC lockup: 1 year - Hunter described GBTC’s private-placement structure and lockup period. Bitwise redemption frequency: Weekly - The Bitwise Bitcoin fund allows ongoing redemptions on a weekly basis. SEC response length: 112 pages - Matt described the SEC’s detailed disapproval as unusually extensive and useful. Winklevoss SEC response length: 96 pages - Matt referenced the earlier SEC response in the Winklevoss ETF case. Relative size estimate for CME vs spot market: 20% to 40% as big - Matt said Bitwise’s analysis suggested CME futures were roughly 20-40% the size of the conservatively estimated spot Bitcoin market. Potential airdrop response: No meaningful airdrops historically - Matt said they have not seen meaningful airdrops worth the risk of gathering and liquidating. Client retention: North of 95% - Hunter said investors staying in Bitwise funds for over a year are retained at a very high rate. Client inflows: Every week for almost 2 years - Hunter said new investors have continued to come in weekly despite the crypto winter. Clients increasing exposure: About 20% - Hunter said a portion of existing clients increased their exposure over time. Crypto IRA upfront fee example: 10% to 15% - Hunter criticized some crypto IRA services for charging very high initial fees. Bitcoin supply reduction: From a little under 4% to a little under 2% annually - Matt discussed Bitcoin halving as a major supply-side valuation input. Control of U.S. wealth by advisors: About half - Matt said financial advisors control about half of U.S. wealth, making advisor-led access important. Existing Bitwise indexes mentioned: 10, 20, 70, and 100 - Hunter noted Bitwise offers large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap, and total-market indexes, though investable funds currently focus on the 10 and the Bitcoin/Ethereum products.

Pivotal Quotes: "The goal that we have at BitWise is to help mainstream investors understand and benefit from this asset class." — Hunter Horsley: He summarized Bitwise’s mission and why the firm focuses on advisor-friendly products. "The beauty of the index strategy allows them to make a bet that if crypto is more important in the future than it is today, they'll be rewarded without having to get into this asset versus that asset." — Matt Hogan: He explained why Bitwise uses market-cap-weighted indexing instead of forcing narrow coin selection. "The important thing was that we got a lot of feedback on where we should be focused and the things that resonated and the things that didn't." — Hunter Horsley: He described the SEC rejection as constructive rather than purely negative.

Implications: Bitwise is positioning itself for institutional adoption by making crypto feel like a traditional asset class. For the industry, the SEC’s feedback suggests ETF approval will hinge on surveillance, price discovery, and custody maturity rather than hype or market size alone.

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