Bankless
Bankless

SotN #3 GROWING (The Flippening is Back, India Banning China, DEXs going parabolic)

STATE OF THE NATION #3 - Tuesday, June 23, 2020 The State of the Bankless Nation is....GROWING! The Bankless boys discuss why. Watch the video here. Covered: * The Flippening is back (will ETH flip BTC?) * India Bannking China (and why it's good for Ethereum & Bitcoin) * DEXes going parabol

Topics Discussed

Episode Summary

Executive Summary: The episode frames the "state of the nation" as one of growth and maturation for the bankless ecosystem: Ethereum and DeFi are moving past infancy into a high-growth, awkward adolescence. The hosts argue that rising Ethereum usage, India’s rejection of Chinese apps, and explosive DEX/AMM growth all reinforce the case for credibly neutral, non-state-controlled crypto systems as checks on authoritarian digital finance.

Main Topics: State of the Nation: From Churning to Growing (Priority: 5/5): Ryan and David describe the bankless ecosystem as transitioning from bullish excitement and then "churning" to a more mature phase of development, where applications, users, and norms are settling in and expanding. The Flippening and Ethereum vs. Bitcoin Metrics (Priority: 5/5): They revisit the old Ethereum-vs-Bitcoin "flippening" meme, focusing on market cap as the main metric while noting Ethereum already leads Bitcoin on transaction count and transaction fees, with other metrics like active addresses also improving. India Bans Chinese Apps as a Digital Sovereignty Move (Priority: 5/5): India's ban on apps like TikTok and WeChat is interpreted as a rejection of Chinese digital influence and surveillance, highlighting how nation-states increasingly use apps and infrastructure as tools of power. Crypto as a Check on Authoritarian Digital Money (Priority: 5/5): The hosts argue that China’s CBDC and similar state-controlled digital currencies enable extraction and surveillance, while Bitcoin and Ethereum provide an opt-out and force governments to use credibly neutral systems if they participate at all. Explosive Growth of DEXs and AMMs (Priority: 5/5): Decentralized exchanges—especially automated market makers like Uniswap, Curve, and Balancer—are growing rapidly because they are scalable, permissionless, and require little infrastructure compared with order-book exchanges. DeFi Tokens as Rocket Fuel and Future Collateral (Priority: 4/5): They discuss COMP and the coming CRV token as incentives that accelerate liquidity and usage, while also creating crypto-native capital assets that can be used as collateral in systems like MakerDAO.

Key Arguments: Ethereum remains far below Bitcoin on market cap, but several usage metrics already favor Ethereum, suggesting the flippening remains plausible. Bitcoin-to-Ethereum comparisons are imperfect because Bitcoin is a mono-asset network while Ethereum is a multi-asset platform. India’s app ban is less about specific apps and more about rejecting Chinese influence and surveillance. If countries refuse Chinese apps, they are even less likely to adopt Chinese blockchain or CBDC systems. Credibly neutral public blockchains are the only viable digital-money alternative once cash disappears, because state-controlled digital money is inherently extractive. AMMs are uniquely scalable because a single Ethereum contract can serve global trading without order books or centralized infrastructure. The rapid rise of DEX volume suggests DeFi is discovering product-market fit that traditional finance does not offer. Governance tokens are being valued like future equity claims, so their long-term legitimacy depends on whether they accrue real cash flows through dividends, fees, or burns.

Data Points: Ethereum market cap vs Bitcoin: 15% - On the flippening dashboard, Ethereum’s market cap is about 15% of Bitcoin’s. Ethereum market cap vs Bitcoin at peak: ~70% - Ryan recalls Ethereum reaching roughly 70% of Bitcoin’s market cap in 2017. Transaction count: Ethereum already higher than Bitcoin - David says Ethereum processes more daily transactions than Bitcoin. Transaction fees: Ethereum has exceeded Bitcoin for 3 weeks - Ethereum block space has been more valuable than Bitcoin’s for at least the last three weeks. Active addresses: 56% - Ethereum active addresses are cited as 56% of Bitcoin’s, though inflated somewhat by Plus Token activity. Google search interest: 10% - Ethereum’s Google search interest is only 10% of Bitcoin’s. Transaction volume comparison: Ethereum would be far above Bitcoin if ERC-20s were included - The hosts note the chart only compares ETH to BTC, not Ethereum plus ERC-20s like USDT. TikTok users: 900 million - Used to illustrate the scale of opt-in consumer adoption despite privacy concerns. Uniswap June volume vs all of 2019: Greater in one month than all of 2019 combined - Hayden Adams’ tweet is cited to show explosive DEX growth. DEX 7-day volume: $450 million - The DEX metrics chart shows roughly $450M in seven-day volume. Uniswap share of DEX volume: 41% - Uniswap accounts for the largest share of decentralized exchange volume. Curve share of DEX volume: 12% - Curve is one of the major AMMs contributing to DEX volume. Balancer share of DEX volume: 8% - Balancer is another AMM contributing meaningfully to total DEX activity. AMM share of DEX volume: ~60%+ - Combining Uniswap, Curve, and Balancer yields a healthy majority of DEX traffic. Curve deposits in February: $8,000 - Used to highlight Curve’s extremely rapid growth over a few months. Curve deposits later: $50 million - Curve’s deposits rose from $8,000 to $50M in US dollars.

Pivotal Quotes: "The state of the nation is growing." — David Hoffman: His headline characterization of the ecosystem’s current phase. "The bankless nation is going through puberty." — David Hoffman: A metaphor for awkward but rapid maturation, with progress and growing pains. "If the nation states are going to use crypto and going to use blockchains, they're going to also set upon the one, the systems, the small number of systems that none of them control and none of them can co-opt." — David Hoffman: Explaining why public, credibly neutral blockchains are favored over state-controlled alternatives.

Implications: The episode suggests crypto is becoming a real counterweight to state power: Ethereum’s growing utility, DEX expansion, and resistance to Chinese digital influence all strengthen the case for neutral, open monetary rails and DeFi as the next major financial infrastructure.

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