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UFOs and Possible Aliens, with Seth Shostak – StarTalk All-Stars

Seth Shostak, SETI Institute Senior Astronomer, discovers what it’s like to host StarTalk All-Stars when he welcomes skeptic Ben Radford and new comic co-host Ray Ellin to discuss UFOs, aliens, government cover-ups, Roswell, and space-faring dinosaurs. NOTE: StarTalk All-Access subscribers can watch

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Ben Radford Guest

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Episode Summary

Executive Summary: This StarTalk episode uses Roswell and related UFO lore to argue for a skeptical, evidence-based reading of alien claims. Ben Radford explains Roswell as a misidentified Project Mogul debris field later amplified by folklore, while Seth Szostak and Ray Allen explore why UFO narratives persist, how conspiracy thinking resists disproof, and why contact with extraterrestrial intelligence would likely be mundane rather than cinematic.

Main Topics: Roswell as folklore, not aliens (Priority: 5/5): Radford argues the 1947 Roswell event involved debris from Project Mogul, a classified balloon project, and that later alien-body stories emerged decades afterward through repeated retellings and sensationalism. How UFO myths spread and endure (Priority: 5/5): The hosts discuss how Roswell became a cultural touchstone only after being revived in the 1980s by books, interviews, and media, showing how folklore can form around a real event. Conspiracy thinking and government secrecy (Priority: 5/5): The episode critiques the logic of claims that the government is hiding alien contact, arguing that secrecy claims are unfalsifiable and that even full disclosure would not satisfy believers. Why aliens probably would not visit Earth the way movies suggest (Priority: 4/5): The conversation repeatedly questions the plausibility of interstellar beings traveling vast distances only to crash, abduct, make crop circles, or probe cattle and people. SETI, communication, and contact protocols (Priority: 4/5): Szostak explains how SETI handles possible signals, including verification, public disclosure, and international consultation before any response is sent. Alien folklore motifs: abductions, Dulce, cattle mutilations, and ancient aliens (Priority: 4/5): The episode surveys popular UFO motifs such as abductions of ordinary people, underground bases in New Mexico, cattle mutilations, alien autopsies, and ancient astronaut claims, treating them as mythic patterns rather than evidence. Public reaction to real alien evidence (Priority: 3/5): The panel considers whether humanity would panic if extraterrestrial life were proven and concludes people would likely absorb the news and continue as normal.

Key Arguments: Roswell was not an alien crash; the debris matches a balloon-based Project Mogul operation designed to detect Soviet nuclear tests. The original Roswell witnesses described lightweight materials like foil and sticks, not bodies or advanced spacecraft. Roswell was forgotten for decades and only became famous after 1980s books and media revived and embellished the story. Conspiracy theories are hard to disprove because any counterevidence is treated as part of the cover-up. If aliens were advanced enough to cross interstellar space, it is unlikely they would come all this way only to crash, make circles in fields, or abduct random people. There is little reason for extraterrestrials to want Earth’s raw materials; the universe contains abundant resources elsewhere. SETI detection protocols prioritize verification and global consultation, but in practice any candidate signal would quickly become public. If aliens exist, humanity would probably adapt and continue functioning rather than descend into mass panic.

Data Points: Year of Roswell incident: 1947 - The alleged crash outside Roswell occurred in the summer of 1947. Delay before Roswell story revival: Decades - Radford says the story stayed dormant from 1947 until the 1970s/1980s. Public belief in aliens visiting Earth: About one-third - The hosts cite polls suggesting roughly 25% to 33% of Americans think UFOs are alien visitors. SETI signal protocol: Do not broadcast back until global consultation - Szostak explains the response rules for a possible extraterrestrial signal. SETI candidate signal incidents: At least 3 - Szostak says there have been at least three occasions where a signal looked potentially real. Distance of Beatles transmission target: 400 light years - NASA’s 2008 transmission of 'Across the Universe' to the North Star was noted as taking a very long time to arrive. Year Project Mogul information released: 1994 - The Air Force publicly explained Project Mogul in 1994, linking it to Roswell. Number of Roswell-related mythologized decades: ~20+ years - The most sensational stories about bodies and cover-ups developed much later than the original event.

Pivotal Quotes: "Sometimes our government is incompetent." — Ben Radford: Used to explain the mistaken weather balloon explanation and the bureaucratic confusion around Roswell. "Inherent, of course, in conspiracy theory thinking is that there's no way to disprove it because anything you offer them as counter evidence is taken as part of the conspiracy." — Ben Radford: Explaining why disclosure would not satisfy committed believers. "If aliens were to be proven to exist tomorrow, next month, or next year, we as humans would do what we always do, which is incorporate that information, learn more about them, and proceed." — Ben Radford: On likely public reaction to confirmed extraterrestrial life.

Implications: The episode encourages skepticism toward sensational UFO claims and suggests future alien evidence would need rigorous verification. It also shows how misinformation, media, and folklore can transform small ambiguities into enduring myths.

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